Asian shares, dollar, oil dip as U.S. shutdown drags on
(Reuters) - Asian
shares, oil prices and the dollar came under pressure on Monday as
politicians in Washington showed no signs of making progress to resolve
the U.S. budget standoff, while safe-haven gold inched higher.
Financial bookmakers expected European shares .FTSE .GDAXI .FCHI to follow Asia lower and open down between 0.4 and 0.5 percent.
Democrats
and Republicans remained far apart on ending the government shutdown,
let alone reaching a deal on the U.S. borrowing limit by October 17 to
avoid an unprecedented default.
Republican
House Speaker John Boehner vowed not to raise the debt ceiling without a
"serious conversation" about what is driving the debt, while Democrats
said it was irresponsible and reckless to raise the possibility of a
default.
The comments appeared to
mark a hardening stance since late last week when Boehner was reported
to have told Republicans privately that he would work to avoid default,
even if it meant relying on the votes of Democrats, as he did in August
2011.
The U.S. Standard &
Poor's 500 e-mini futures shed 0.6 percent in Asian trade on Monday,
pointing to further weakness on Wall Street later in the day. The
S&P 500 index .SPX ended down 0.1 percent last week.
U.S. Treasury futures rose 5-1/2 ticks.
Selling
of riskier assets has been orderly so far, but investors expect
volatility to increase if the shutdown continues as the Oct 17 deadline
gets closer.
"As the days tick by
and the U.S. government's cash gradually starts to run out, the stakes
will rise considerably," analysts at ANZ said in a note.
MSCI's
broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS fell
0.6 percent. Its 12-month forward price-to-earnings ratio stood at 11.8
as of last week, below a 10-year average of 12.4, Thomson Reuters
Datastream data showed.
Japan's Nikkei share average .N225
dropped 1 percent, hitting a one-month low and extending last week's 5
percent tumble - its biggest weekly fall since early August.
NERVE TESTING TIME AHEAD
"A
higher risk of a U.S. sovereign default would lead to a flight to
liquidity and, ironically, a stronger U.S. dollar, except against the
most liquid/safest-haven ones: euro, yen, sterling and Swiss franc,"
analysts at Barclays Capitals wrote in a note.
"That
is not to say we expect a breach of the ceiling, and continue to expect
that a resolution will be found, despite the brinkmanship."
The
dollar slipped 0.3 percent to 97.15 yen, giving up its gains on Friday
to snap a five-day losing run against the Japanese currency.
The
greenback was down 0.1 percent against the euro at $1.3568. Against a
basket of major currencies, the dollar .DXY eased 0.1 percent to be
within striking distance of an eight-month trough hit last week.
PREETI CHAUHAN
PGDM 3sem
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